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Jun 29, 2026

The US Equity Market Valuation has hit the highest level ever recorded!

This combined metric includes P/E, Forward P/E, Shiller P/E, EV/EBITDA, Price-to-Book, Price-to-Sales, Q Ratio, Return on Equity (RoE), and the Warren Buffett Indicator. 

The US Equity Market Valuation metric has hit the 80% percentile 5 times since...


Jun 22, 2026

Inflation has increased for the third consecutive month. Historically, inflation happens in waves. 
 
The recent Federal Reserve meeting was the first one with the new Chairman, Kevin Warsh. Following are the highlights:
   1. Half of the Fed Governors projected a rate increase in 2026
   2. None of the Fed Governors...


Jun 15, 2026

IPO's over the past 45 years that debut above 40x sales underperform the market by 58% over the next 3 years. 


SpaceX IPO initial price was about 90x sales.


The lower the price to sale ratio, the better the returns long-term.


The top 10 largest IPO's price dropped an average of 35% in 6 months.


IPO's tend to issue a...


Jun 8, 2026

Apple went public in 1980 at 15X revenue.
 
SpaceX is scheduled to go public on 6.12.26 at 100X revenue. The market cap is estimated to be $1.5 -2.0 trillion valuation. This would be higher than Microsoft. SpaceX would be the third largest company by market cap in the US, behind only Apple and Nvidia.
 
SpaceX lost...


Jun 1, 2026

Stock valuations have almost never been higher.
  - The Buffet Indicator is at 233, the highest ever recorded. Market cap to GDP has never been higher.
  - The Schiller Adjusted Price to Earnings ratio is the second highest recorded in 145 years. At current valuations, it would take over 40 years to recover the...