If Houses are not Selling, Why are not Prices Dropping?

Jul 1, 2025

Many people are confused. If houses are not selling, why are not prices not falling? There are several reasons.

 

Cause:

Housing prices increased an average of 50% from 2019 -2024 in the US. Some areas increased up to 100%.

 

Strong purchasing demand plus limited inventory was the primary reason for prices increasing.

 

Housing affordability is at historical lows due to significantly higher mortgage interest rates and higher purchase prices. This has destroyed buying demand.

 

The average American household can no longer afford to purchase the average home in America.

 

Effect:

Some homeowners are still hoping to cash in on the pandemic housing boom.

 

Low mortgages have a "lock-in effect". Many are reluctant to sell their current home and replace with a much higher interest rate.

 

Others are not delusional, they cannot afford to move.

 

Projection:

There is hope on the horizon.

 

Housing inventory has increased to pre-COVID levels in many markets, particularly in the South and West.

 

Homebuilders are offering record levels of incentives for new homebuyers.

 

Rental rates have declined for 21 consecutive months. Investors are selling at record levels due to the declining rental income.

 

Job changes or life events are forcing some to move.

 

As time passes, the low interest rate mortgage "lock-in effect" is receding.

 

These are factors that will contribute to declining housing prices.

 

 

Us Government Debt is over $37 Trillion.

 

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