The SpaceX IPO May be the Largest Insider Sell Event in a Decade

Jun 8, 2026

Apple went public in 1980 at 15X revenue.

 

SpaceX is scheduled to go public on 6.12.26 at 100X revenue. The market cap is estimated to be $1.5 -2.0 trillion valuation. This would be higher than Microsoft. SpaceX would be the third largest company by market cap in the US, behind only Apple and Nvidia.

 

SpaceX lost over $4 billion in Q1 2026. Total losses since founding have been over $40 billion.

 

95% of all SpaceX shares are held by insiders.

 

Typically, insiders are frozen from selling their shares for 180 days after listing to prevent the stock price from getting crushed.

 

SpaceX insiders will be able to sell 20% of their shares in 60 days. Several more chunks of shares will be unlocked for insiders.

 

By late November 2026, over 90% of insider shares would be unlocked for potential sale.

 

The median stock price on most large IPO's, including Facebook, Coinbase, and Uber, have lost over 50% of their stock price after one year. Many were leading companies in their space and "must-own stocks". 

 

There may be a short-term speculative price increase due to the hype and interest around SpaceX. The valuation is extraordinarily expensive. Proceed with extreme caution.