Dec 19, 2023
The Federal Reserve has been selling assets most of 2023. This
is known as quantitative tightening.
As a result, the money supply has reduced 3.3% since July
2022. This has only happened four previous times in US history;
1920-21, 1929-33, 1937-38, and 1948-49. Each time, a severe
recession followed.
Warren Buffet has sold over $28 billion in stocks in 2023. He
has stated stocks are expensive and has been pessimistic about
the stock market and economy. He is following history. Warren
Buffest is considered the best investor in history. Wall Street and
investors are paying attention.
The Federal Reserve has recently announced they expect to
reduce interest rates 0.75% by the end of 2024. A recession would
reduce demand, inflation, and make interest rate reductions more
likely.
If interest rates are reduced slightly, they would be at
long-term average rates. These rates would remain higher than the
extreme low rates over most of the past decade. This bodes well for
fixed interest, bank money, bonds, and dividends.
Vanguard expects bond returns to be favorable for the next 5
-10 years.
Your Personal Bank dividends are highly interest rate
sensitive. Dividends will likely to increase for the next 5 -10
years.
Your Personal Bank allows you to earn cash flow
on money you spent every year for the rest of your life! This can
help you offset inflation.
Interest rate sensitive assets will thrive while asset values
on most stocks and real estate will suffer.
Your Personal Bank dividends are interest rate sensitive and
will thrive in a higher interest rate environment. Dividends are
likely to increase for the next several years due to higher
interest rates.
Your Personal Bank funds grow income tax-free and you can
access tax-free. This shields you from likely higher future tax
rates. You can grow your money safely, with guarantees, tax-free,
and highly liquid.