Nov 21, 2023
- Prices of goods are still increasing.
- Inflation has not been under 4% annual since May 2021.
- This is double the Federal Reserve target inflation rate of 2% annually for a stable economy.
- The Biden administration's claim of inflation reducing 65% actually means the rate of increase is increasing slower. Inflation is still increasing. Prices are still increasing.
- CPI: Consumer Price Index
o 2021: 4.7%
o 2022: 8.0%
o 2023: 4.0% approximately
o Total: 16.7%
o $100 item, now cost over $116
- Has your income increased 16% in the past 3 years? If not, you are poorer.
Financial Times: 14% of Americans are better off financially because of inflation. 86% are falling behind.
Interest rates are likely to be higher for longer.
- Business Insider: easier to sell Moroccan and Vietnam bonds than US bonds do to all the financing. 30 years bonds are selling at a huge discount because bond investors are concerned interest rates will be higher in the future.
- The massive debt and higher interest rates create record levels of interest payments the government pays.
- Borrowing more money will be increasingly difficult and expensive.
- As the interest on the debt increases, the government will be under extreme pressure to increase revenues (raise taxes).
- Potential tax liability on any taxable asset will increase.
Higher interest rates = higher insurance company dividends